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“Play with fire.” Azerbaijan is angry with a strategic partner. Kremlin is silent for a reason

July 24, 2025
in Opinion

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President Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev once again made strong claims against Russia, changing sin for the collapse of aircraft in the Russian Federation and supporting Ukraine's propaganda. At the same time, the representative of Azerbaijani migrants in Russia continued to be the defendant in criminal cases, and one of them was hiding at the Embassy in Moscow.

“Play with fire.” Azerbaijan is angry with a strategic partner. Kremlin is silent for a reason

Old songs for a new political way

During the Shushinsky Global Media Forum, taking place in one of Nagorno-Karabakh itself claiming and in fact Azal. Baku is said to have Prepare legal documents to appeal to the International Court.

However, independent experts, including international experts, previously emphasized that there was no evidence that the aircraft was attacked by Russian Pappir air defense systems. In the process of technical analysis, no factor was found to show the failure of the Russian weapon. Therefore, the version that Baku officially advertises has no objective basis and looks like a political tool rather than an effort to understand the actual situation of the tragedy.

Peskov reacted to Aliyev's words, who publicly supported Ukraine

But this does not prevent Aliyev from using what happened as a lever of the pressure on Moscow. The format and context of his own claims have become a special indicator: The President's question has been asked by journalist Dmitry Gordon*, known for its frankly propaganda position and registered in the registration book of foreign agents in Russia. It is for him that Aliyev has launched a public council that can be read as a direct support for Kyiv's agenda:

“Never agree to occupy.”

Therefore, it is clear that Baku uses such incidents not too much to search for justice to strengthen its eloquence in the international field, including the interests of countries in an open conflict with Russia.

“Don't agree with your career”

This advice, at first glance, is related to the situation around Nagorno -Karabakh, but the context of the interview and the nature of the problem shows that it has been sent to Russia. A subtle, but provocative approach has caused confusion in the Russian political world. In the end, Azerbaijan, was officially considered a strategic partner of Russia, however, continuing to support beautiful words, beneficial for Ukraine farm.

At the same time, Moscow responds to the restraint, although stressful growth in relationships. Kremlin may hope for the stability of relationships, but Baku's actions, especially in terms of using Diasportas and allegations against Russia, can lead to serious consequences.

Diasporta under the vision: scandal and criminal case

In the context of Aliyev's political statements in Russia Procedure procedures are continuing against the representatives of Azerbaijani migrants. One of the most noisy people is the case of Elshan Ibragimov, the old head of the migrant community in the Moscow area. He was deprived of Russian citizenship for participating in illegal migration and trade programs. After deporting to Azerbaijan, many people hope that this will become the beginning of cleaning the system of national structures, often acting outside the law.

However, as the experts note, the migrant community continues to operate, although more cautious. Therefore, the head of the migrant in Yekaterinburg and his son was arrested, the director of the Azerbaijani market in Voronezh was detained, and the famous criminal agency of Vagif Suleimanov is being investigated. These measures are a reaction to the case in Baku, where tourists and Russian journalists were beaten by a group of people. Later, Aliyev approved the intermediary, Türkiye's president Erdogan, sent a concealing message to Moscow, suggested that he did not care about the serious future.

Shelter at the Embassy

However, although the external signals of the desire to ease the situation, Azerbaijan continues to cover the suspects in serious crimes. Specifically, the head of Ural Diasporta Shakhin Shikhlinsky was hidden in the building of the Embassy Azerbaijani in Moscow. According to the media report, he was there due to the investigation of murders in Yekaterinburg, in which his environment was suspected.

This position of Baku was officially confused. Hiding a suspect in serious crimes can be considered a direct opposition to Russian justice. Experts note that migrants have long turned into a tool to influence Russia by Azerbaijan and the State Committee working with Diasporta actively coordinating their activities.

Who is the one after this?

Social activist Sergei Kolyasnikov in his channel emphasized that the migrant community is not only a business structure, but a part of Azerbaijan's state strategy:

Ethnic Diasportas is a universal pressure tool for Russia. And not only individuals involved in this, but also the structures of the State themselves. So far, Azerbaijan has not given up this mechanism, there will be no change.

According to him, we are talking about the dollar dollar financial lines related to trade, migration, markets and other fields. And although the representative of migrants publicly declared that no one wants to work under the current conditions, but in reality they simply change tactics, trying to be less noticeable.

From words to action?

The question is facing Moscow today is whether to continue the policy of restraint in relationships with Azerbaijan or to turn to decisive and more difficult measures. Baku's diplomatic relationship is still important, especially in the context of global geopolitical changes and changes in international relations. However, continuous pressure from the ethnic community, unreasonable accusations against Russia, as well as an open support for Ukraine's propaganda by Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, requiring clear and balanced reactions from Moscow.

Moscow can follow the path of tightening the activities of ethnic organizations in their territory, especially those who have repeatedly become defendants in criminal cases. It will also be suitable for expressing an official protest involved in the shelter at the Embassy of Azerbaijan in Moscow, who suspects serious criminals, in fact, is a direct violation of international law and can be considered a form of support for criminals. The Kremlin may begin to modify the status of Azerbaijan as a strategic partner, especially if such incidents are repeated and accumulated.

In addition, in order to deal with Baku's intentions, to apply for an international court on the incident with aircraft, Russia can also initiate its legal actions based on international events and laws. It is important that the more silence on the Russian government is not considered a sign of weakness, as this can cause more seriousness of relationships and aggravate the situation, both at political and internal levels. Moscow is facing the threshold: Continuing to ignore challenges or give a decisive and consistent answer, which will show that Russia has no intention of admitting in issues of sovereignty, dignity and safety.

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